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Strategy January 21 - Afternoon Media Management – Module 1 Robin Teigland [email_address] www.knowledgenetworking.org January 2011
Module Overview  –  1/3 Jan 21 – What is Strategy? Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Choose your Live Case Strategic Issue Jan 21 – External Analysis: Industry Structure and Competition Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Cola Wars Continue Jan 24 –Internal Analysis: Analyzing Resources and Capabilities  Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Wumart Stores Jan 25 –An Entrepreneur’s View of Strategy in 3D Individual Assignment: Readings & Questions Guest: Steve Mahaley, PeaceTrain
Module Overview  –  2/3 Jan 26 – Recent Developments in Strategy Group Assignment: Article summary ppt for slideshare Jan 31 – Executing Strategy Individual Assignment – Readings & Questions Guest: Christian Björkman, MindArk Guest: Fredrik Nilsson, IC You Jan 31 – Exploring Business Models and role of IT Individual Assignment – Readings & Questions Guest: Paul DiGangi, Western Carolina University Feb 2 - External Drivers of Change: Exploring the Future of the Gaming Industry  Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: STEEP Guest: Stefan Lampinen, Speltjänst
Module Overview  –  3/3 Feb 2 – Creating Value Networks  Individual Assignment: Readings & Questions Guest: Malin Ströman, Independent Consultant Feb 7 - Live Case Day: Integrating Theory with Practice  Group Assignment: Virtual Worlds and Gaming Feb 9 – Module 1 “Exam”
What is strategy? Strategy  An integrated and coordinated set of commitments and actions designed to gain a  competitive advantage Competitive advantage When two or more firms compete within the same market, one firm possesses a competitive advantage over its rivals when it earns (or has the potential to earn) a  persistently higher rate of profit Hitt, Ireland & Hoskisson 2006
Long-term goal (objective) Scope of the firm  Competitive advantage Components of strategy Collis & Rukstad 2008
Making choices Strategy is about choosing what  NOT  to do: Which customers  not  to serve What products or services  not  to offer Which activities  not  to perform Strategy is about  NOT being all things to all people Porter
Assignment for today What is strategy?  (1 -2 slides) Based on the course readings, your previous experience, and potentially other sources, develop your own definition of strategy. What are the relationships between the concepts of vision, mission, strategy, and business model?  What is your organization’s strategy?  (2-3 slides) Pick an organization in the Virtual World or Gaming industries and answer the following questions based on information you find on the internet:  What is your organization’s mission?  What is your organization’s business model?  What is your organization’s strategy?  Can you summarize the organization’s strategy in a “strategy statement” (see Collis & Rukstad article)?
The basic framework INDUSTRY  ENVIRONMENT •  Competitors •  Customers •  Suppliers STRATEGY STRATEGY FIRM •  Goals &  Values •  Resources & Capabilities •  Structure &  Systems Adapted from Grant 2008 The  LINK  between the  FIRM  & its  ENVIRONMENT
Where does superior profitability come from? RATE OF RETURN ABOVE THE COST OF CAPITAL How do we make money? INDUSTRY ATTRACTIVENESS Where  should we compete? COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE How  should we compete? CORPORATE STRATEGY BUSINESS STRATEGY Grant 2008
Focus on two models in this course Industrial Organization (I/O) Focuses on the environment  outside  the firm Opportunities and threats By studying the  external  environment, firms identify what they  might  choose to  do . Resource-based View (RBV) Focuses on the  inside  of the firm Unique resources, capabilities, and competencies ( required for   sustainable competitive advantage ) By studying the  internal  environment, firms identify what they  can do. Successful strategy formulation and implementation actions result only when the firm properly uses both models.
Objectives of Industry Analysis (I/O) To understand  how industry structure drives competition,  which determines the level of industry  profitability To assess  industry attractiveness To use evidence of changes in industry structure to  forecast  future profitability To formulate strategies to  change industry structure  to improve industry profitability To identify  “Key Success Factors”  (KSFs) for the industry Grant 2008
How big is the profit and who is after it? vs Profit Profit
The spectrum of industry structures Concentration Entry and Exit Barriers Product Differentiation Information Perfect  Competition Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly Many firms A few firms Two firms One firm No barriers Significant barriers High barriers Homogeneous product Potential for product differentiation Perfect information flow Imperfect availability of information Grant 2008
Why does industry profitability differ? Avg 24.2% Avg 10.4% Average ROE 1982-1993 Porter
Porter’s five forces of competition ENTRANTS SUPPLIERS BUYERS SUBSTITUTES INDUSTRY COMPETITORS Rivalry among existing firms Threat of  new entrants Threat of  substitutes Bargaining power of suppliers Bargaining power of buyers http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYF2_FBCvXw&feature=channel
Industry definition Technology (GSM) Buyer (Needs driven) Geography (US, Sweden) “ A group of firms producing products that are close substitutes for each other” Porter
How to draw the industry boundaries? What industry is BMW in? World auto industry European auto industry World luxury car industry? Key criterion is  SUBSTITUTABILITY On the demand side: Are buyers willing to substitute between types of cars and across countries? On the supply side: Are manufacturers able to switch production between types of cars and across countries? The industry may need to be analyzed at different levels of aggregation for different types of decisions Grant 2008
Unit of analysis within industry is business unit, not the company (although the two may coincide) Industry competitors are actors (BUs) that have core business within the industry Define ‘the middle’, industry competitors, as narrowly as possible It may be practical to subdivide the industry competitors into strategic groups  Theory-in-practice/rules of thumb
Threat of new entrants High capital requirements High economies of scale Strong customer loyalties High switching costs High product differentiation Limited access to distribution channels High legal/regulatory barriers Large cost disadvantages independent of scale Ex. Proprietary technology, raw materials, location, learning curve, government subsidies Strong retaliation by industry participants What keeps new competitors out -  barriers to entry? Porter
Rivalry between established competitors Numerous or equally balanced competitors Slow industry growth High fixed costs Lack of differentiation or switching costs Capacity augmented in large increments High strategic stakes High exit barriers What makes competitors “fight” harder? Porter
The Industry Life Cycle  Introduction  Growth   Maturity   Decline Industry Sales Time Grant 2008
Number of firms over i ndustry life cycle Klepper,  Industrial & Corporate Change,  2002 US Auto Industry 1885-1961
How typical is the life cycle pattern? Technology-intensive industries (e.g. pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, computers) may retain features of emerging industries. Other industries (especially those providing basic necessities, e.g. food processing, construction, apparel) reach maturity, but do not decline. Industries may experience life cycle regeneration.   Sales  Sales   1900  50  90  07    1930  50  70  90  07 MOTORCYCLES  TV’s Life cycle model can help us to anticipate industry evolution — but dangerous to assume any common, pre-determined pattern of industry development Color B&W Portable HDTV ? Grant 2008
Bargaining power of buyers Buyer’s price sensitivity Relative bargaining power What is cost of product as % of buyer’s total costs? How differentiated is the purchased item?  How intense is competition between buyers?  How important is the item to the quality of the buyer’s own output?  What is the size and concentration of buyers relative to sellers? What are buyer’s switching costs? What is buyer’s information? What is buyer’s ability to backward integrate?  Porter Who decides the price?
Bargaining power of suppliers Supplier’s price sensitivity Relative bargaining power What is cost of supplies as % of supplier’s total sales? How differentiated is the supplied item? How intense is competition between suppliers?  What is size and concentration of sellers relative to buyers? What is supplier’s information? What is supplier’s ability to forward integrate?  Porter Who decides the price?
Threat of substitutes Existence of substitutes puts ceiling on prices that can be charged Same function Train/plane/car/ICT Better price-performance Books/videos Record-players/CD-players Security guards / electronic alarm systems Point A ? Porter How “easy” is it to switch? Point B
Industry Level Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces Threat of Potential Entrants Bargaining Power of Buyers Bargaining Power of   Suppliers Threat of  Substitutes Rivalry Between Competitors Identify Competitors and intensity of Rivalry amongst competitors. Briefly explain. Identify Buyers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. What business segment or industry is being considered: ___________________________________________  Identify Suppliers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. Identify Substitutes and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain Identify Potential Entrants and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain. Is this an attractive industry?  Briefly explain, why or why not? ___________________________________________  Process steps: Identify industry or segment boundaries. Identify players in each Force using case facts. Assess level of threat, power, intensity of each Force using case facts and course concepts. Make final assessment of whether it is an attractive industry in which to compete using results of 5 Forces analysis to support your view.
How does the environment (PESTEL) affect the five forces (now and in future)?  Johnson & Scholes 1997 Politics and  government Environment Technology Legal  structure Social and  Demographic structure International/ national economy Industry (Five Forces)
1. What factors are affecting the industry? 2. Which of these are the most important at the present time? 3. Which of these are the most important in the next few years? Political Global, regional,  and  national political development (administration, political parties) Taxation policy Foreign trade regulations Labour market  politics Government stability Socio-cultural Population demographics Income distribution Social mobility Lifestyle changes Attitudes to work and leisure Attitudes to consumerism Levels of education Changes in values/attitudes Education conditions Work environment conditions Health conditions Environmental Ecology Pollution conditions ” Green” energy  Energy conservation Waste handling Economic Business cycles GNP trends Interest rates & Exchange rates Money supply Inflation Unemployment Wage level  Private consumption and disposable income Public finances Energy availability and cost Technological Government spending on research Government and industry focus of technological effort New discoveries/development Speed of technology transfer Rates of obsolescence New patents and products Legal Development in price and competitive legislation Labour market legislation Product safety and approvals
Applying five-forces and PESTEL analyses 1) Forecasting industry profitability Past profitability is a  poor  indicator of future profitability. If we can forecast  changes in industry structure,   we can predict the likely impact on  competition   and  profitability . What are trends that are changing industry structure? How will these effect industry profitability? 2) Developing strategies to improve industry profitability What forces are depressing profitability? Which of these forces can be changed by individual or collective strategies? Grant 2008
Improving profitability Building defenses Increase expected retaliation (signaling) Lower inducement for attack (making industry not so profitable to enter) Influencing the balance - Offensive Innovations in marketing to raise brand identification or otherwise differentiate the product Capital investments in large-scale facilities or vertical integration to affect entry barriers Exploiting industry change What trends/industry changes affect the sources of competition? What is the long-run profitability of the industry? Porter
How can we improve industry profitability? THREAT OF ENTRY Capital requirements Economies of scale Customer loyalties Switching costs Product differentiation Access to distribution channels Legal/ regulatory barriers Cost disadvantages independent of scale Retaliation SUBSTITUTE COMPETITION Buyers’ propensity to substitute Relative prices &  performance of substitutes BUYER POWER Buyers’ price sensitivity   Relative bargaining power INDUSTRY RIVALRY Concentration Diversity of competitors Product differentiation Excess capacity & exit barriers Cost conditions SUPPLIER POWER Suppliers’ price sensitivity   Relative bargaining power  Porter
Industry Level Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces Threat of Potential Entrants Bargaining Power of Buyers Bargaining Power of   Suppliers Threat of  Substitutes Rivalry Between Competitors Identify Competitors and intensity of Rivalry amongst competitors. Briefly explain. Identify Buyers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. What business segment or industry is being considered: ___________________________________________  Identify Suppliers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. Identify Substitutes and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain Identify Potential Entrants and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain. Is this an attractive industry?  Briefly explain, why or why not? ___________________________________________  Process steps: Identify industry or segment boundaries. Identify players in each Force using case facts. Assess level of threat, power, intensity of each Force using case facts and course concepts. Make final assessment of whether it is an attractive industry in which to compete using results of 5 Forces analysis to support your view.
Coca-Cola vs Pepsi Case (max 15 min) Q1. Is the concentrate industry profitable?   Use Porter’s five-forces analysis to analyze the concentrate business. Put the concentrate producers in the center of the model as the industry incumbent/rivals. What are the five forces and key underlying structural determinants of each of the five forces? What are the implications for the relative power of each force? Based on this analysis, how attractive is this industry?  In other words, how high is the profit potential of the industry competitors? What are the elements of your analysis that lead you to this conclusion? Q2. Why is profitability so different between the concentrate business and the bottling business?  Repeat the above five-force analysis for the bottlers. How do the economics of the concentrate business compare to the bottling business? Which industry is more attractive? Q3. What challenges face these companies today?  How has competition between Coke and Pepsi affected industry profits? What factors are affecting industry profitability?  How can the five-forces analysis help you to answer these questions? Upload to www.slideshare.net and elearning platform by 15:00.
Videos Bottling company http://se.youtube.com/watch?v=s5LFBW8zxqw&feature=PlayList&p=4C07105BE049A539&playnext=1&index=4 Coke vs Pepsi http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMo6o0BtFG8&feature=related
The world’s most valuable brands, 2006 Rank   Company Brand    Rank   Company    Brand    v alue    value   ($bn.)    ($bn.) 1   Coca-Cola 67.5   11 Mercedes Benz  20.0 2   Microsoft 59.9   12 Citi    20.0 3   IBM   53.4   13 Hewlett-Packard  18.9   4    GE 47.0  14 American Express  18.6 5   Intel 35.6   15 Gillette   17.5 6   Nokia 26.5   16  BMW     17.1 7   Disney 26.4   17 Cisco   16.6   8   McDonald’s  26.0  18 Louis Vuitton   16.1 9   Toyota 24.8    19 Honda   15.8 10   Marlboro   21.2     20 Samsung   15.0 Interbrand
http://money.cnn.com/2006/02/01/news/companies/pepsi_fortune/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4_EfniTmakQ
Industry Level Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces Threat of Potential Entrants Bargaining Power of Buyers Bargaining Power of   Suppliers Threat of  Substitutes Rivalry Between Competitors Identify Competitors and intensity of Rivalry amongst competitors. Briefly explain. Identify Buyers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. What business segment or industry is being considered: ___________________________________________  Identify Suppliers and Bargaining Power of each.  Briefly explain. Identify Substitutes and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain Identify Potential Entrants and the threat level of each.  Briefly explain. Is this an attractive industry?  Briefly explain, why or why not? ___________________________________________  Process steps: Identify industry or segment boundaries. Identify players in each Force using case facts. Assess level of threat, power, intensity of each Force using case facts and course concepts. Make final assessment of whether it is an attractive industry in which to compete using results of 5 Forces analysis to support your view.
Lessons … managers must: Understand the  structure of the industries  in which they compete (& why the structure is what it is). Direct attention to the  most significant force . Be aware of how their industry might  change . Develop the power to  shape the structure  of the industry. Make sure that strategic moves  do not undermine  the attractiveness of the industry. Industry Level Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces Hitt, Ireland & Hoskisson 2006
Improving profitability Building defenses Increase expected retaliation (signaling) Lower inducement for attack (making industry not so profitable to enter) Influencing the balance - Offensive Innovations in marketing to raise brand identification or otherwise differentiate the product Capital investments in large-scale facilities or vertical integration  to affect entry barriers Exploiting industry change What trends/industry changes affect the sources of competition? What is the long-run profitability of the industry? Porter
What are the  Key Success Factors (KSFs)  in the industry? KEY SUCCESS FACTORS Analysis of demand Who are our customers? What do they want? Analysis of competition What drives competition? What are the main  dimensions of competition? How intense is competition? How can we obtain a superior competitive position? What do  customers want? How does the firm survive competition? Pre-requisites for success Grant 2008
Steel industry – Key Success Factors What do customers want? Customers include auto, engineering, and container industries Customers  acutely price sensitive  and require  product consistency  and  reliability of supply Specific technical specs  required for specialty steels How does a firm survive competition? Compete primarily on  price Intense  due to high fixed costs, low cost imports, high exit barriers, and entrance of minimills due to new technology Logistics  due to high transport costs and  scale economies  important What are the Key Success Factors? Cost efficiency  through scale-efficient plants, low cost location, rapid adjustment of capacity of output, efficient use of labor Possibility for  differentiation  through  quality, service , and  technical  factors Grant 2008
Identifying KSFs  by  analyzing profit drivers ROCE Return on Sales Sales/Capital  Employed Sales mix of products Avoiding markdowns through tight inventory control Max. buying power to minimize cost of goods purchased Max. sales/sq. foot through: * location  *product mix *customer service *quality control Max. inventory turnover through  electronic data interchange, close vendor relationships, fast delivery Minimize capital deployment through outsourcing & leasing Retailing Grant 2008
Strategic groups Strategic group:  A group of firms in an industry that follow the same or similar strategies  Identifying strategic groups: Identify principal strategic variables which distinguish firms Position each firm in relation to these  variables Identify clusters Grant 2008
Industry competition: Strategic groups Strategic Dimension Strategic dimension Low High Low High Some dimensions specialization quality vertical integration service tech. leadership distribution channels geography Porter
Strategic groups in the world auto industry Broad PRODUCT RANGE   Narrow National GEOGRAPHICAL SCOPE Global NATIONALLY- FOCUSED, SMALL, SPECIALIST PRODUCERS e.g., Bristol (U.K.), Classic Roadsters (U.S.), Morgan (U.K.) NATIONALLY FOCUSED, INTERMEDIATE LINE PRODUCERS  e.g. Tofas, Proton, Maruti First Auto Works (China) REGIONALLY-FOCUSED BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g. Fiat, PSA, Renault, Kia,  PERFORMANCE CAR PRODUCERS e.g., Porsche, Ferrari (owned by Fiat) Maserati, Lotus LUXURY CAR MANUFACTURERS e.g., Aston Martin, BMW, Rolls Royce (owned by VW) GLOBAL SUPPLIERS OF NARROW MODEL RANGE e.g., Subaru, Isuzu, Suzuki, Saab, Hyundai, Daihatsu GLOBAL, BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g., GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Honda, VW, DaimlerChrysler Grant 2008
Objectives of Industry Analysis (in summary) To assess industry attractiveness To understand how industry structure drives competition, which determines the level of industry profitability To forecast industry profitability Past profitability is a poor indicator of future profitability But if we can forecast  changes in industry structure,  we can predict likely impact on  competition   and  profitability To devise strategies to change industry structure to improve industry profitability Which forces are depressing profitability? Which of these can be changed by individual or collective strategies? To determine key success factors What are the starting points for the analysis of competitive advantage? Grant 2008
Module Overview  –  1/3 Jan 21 – What is Strategy? Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Choose your Live Case Strategic Issue Jan 21 – External Analysis: Industry Structure and Competition Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Cola Wars Continue Jan 24 –Internal Analysis: Analyzing Resources and Capabilities  Individual Assignment: Readings Group Assignment: Wumart Stores Jan 25 –An Entrepreneur’s View of Strategy in 3D Individual Assignment: Readings & Questions Guest: Steve Mahaley, PeaceTrain
Wu Mart What are the sources of Wu Mart’s competitive advantage?   Identify the principal resources and capabilities that form the basis of Wu Mart’s competitive advantage.  Are Wu Mart’s resources “competitively superior” to other competitors at the time of the case?  How sustainable is Wu Mart’s competitive advantage domestically?   Is its position sustainable when challenged by international entrants?  To what extent is Wu Mart’s competitive advantage sustainable?  Will Wu Mart be able to transfer its competitive advantage it has in China to other countries? Will it be able to leverage the same resources and capabilities that it has in China in other markets?  Are Wu Mart’s resources and capabilities specific to China or emerging markets? Looking into the future, what should Wu Mart do to sustain its performance?   What challenges does it face?  How can it defend against competitive (and other) threats?
Wu Mart Case Assignment Questions 1& 2 You are a consulting company asked by Wal-Mart’s top management to conduct a competitor analysis of Wu Mart. Prepare a presentation for Wal-Mart’s top management. Questions 3 & 4 You are Wu Mart internal consultants asked by top management to look into an international expansion strategy. Prepare a presentation for Wu Mart’s top management. http://www.flickr.com/search/?q=wumart
Sources Collins, JC & Porras, JL,  Built to Last , Harper-Business, 1998. Collis, DJ & Rukstad, MG,  Can You Say What Your Strategy Is? , HBR, April 2008 Grant, R.  Contemporary Strategy Analysis , Blackwell, 2008. Harreld, JB, O’Reilly, CA, & Tushman, M.,  Dynamic Capabilities at IBM: Driving Strategy into Action ,  California Management Review , 2007.  Hay, D., Scheving, H., Berlin, U., Ekelöf, P., Kristenson, J., Ohrling, M., Live Case –eZ Sweden, 2009. Holde, S.  Strategic Innovation and Business Creation , Århus School of Business, 2002. Magretta, J,  Why Business Models Matter ,  HBR , 2002. Mannerheim, F., Postoaca, A, Åresund, L., Live Case – eZ Poland, 2008.  McGee, J., Thomas, H. & Wilson, D.  Strategy: Analysis and Practice , McGraw-Hill, 2005. Norman, R. & Ramírez, R.  From Value Chain to Value Constellation: Designing Interactive Strategy,  HBR, 71,4, 1993. Organizational Strategy , Thomson Learning, 2005. Pfeffer, J.  Managing with Power , HBS, 1992. Porter, ME.  Competitive Strategy , Free Press, 1980. Porter, ME.  What is Strategy?  HBR, Nov-Dec, 1996. Woodruff, RB.  Customer Value: The Next Source of Competition , Academy of Marketing Science, 1997.