Abstract
This paper introduces a new wavelet methodology to handle dynamic co-movements of multivariate time series via extending multiple and quadruple wavelet coherence methodologies. The primary motivation of our works is to measure wavelet coherence analytically for the specific dimension. Thanks to the analytical solution, both smoothed complex wavelet coherence (\(C^d\)) and vector wavelet coherence (\({VR}^2\)) can be calculated for any dimensions. Two illustrative cases employ to explore the method. The first illustration designates that dynamic co-movement between VIX and stock indices over the period between January 2000 to November 2019. Vector wavelet coherence methodology employed to examine the structure of dynamic relationships. Empirical results revealed that the relationships detected are not significant for most time-frequencies. The second application aims to approve existing multiple, quadruple, five, and six wavelet coherences. In order to validate, we generate synthetic sine curves and employ vector wavelet coherence for both multivariate (y, \(x_1\), \(x_2\)), quadruple (y, \( x_1\), \(x_2\), \(x_3\)), five (y, \(x_1\), \(x_2\), \(x_3\), \(x_4\)), and six (y, \(x_1\), \(x_2\), \(x_3\), \(x_4\), \(x_5\)) coherencies. The results of VMC only capture the relational frequencies and verify the existing methodologies.



Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The description of CWT, XWT and WTC is heavily drawn from Grinsted et al. [1]. We are grateful to Grinsted and co-authors for making codes available at: https://github.com/grinsted/wavelet-coherence, which was utilized in the present study.
References
Grinsted A, Moore JC, Jevrejeva S (2004) Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlinear Process Geophys 11(5/6):561–566. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-561-2004
Torrence C, Compo GP (1998) A practical guide to wavelet analysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79(1):61–78. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2
Maraun D, Kurths J (2004) Cross wavelet analysis: significance testing and pitfalls. Nonlinear Process Geophys 11(4):505–514. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-505-2004
Mihanović H, Orlić M, Pasarić Z (2009) Diurnal thermocline oscillations driven by tidal flow around an island in the middle adriatic. J Mar Syst 78:S157–S168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2009.01.021
Oygur T, Unal G (2017) Evidence of large fluctuations of stock return and financial crises from turkey: Using wavelet coherency and varma modeling to forecast stock return. Fluct Noise Lett 16(02):1750020. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219477517500201
Aguiar-Conraria L, Soares MJ (2011) Oil and the macroeconomy: using wavelets to analyze old issues. Empir Econ 40(3):645–655. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-010-0371-x
Fernández-Macho J (2012) Wavelet multiple correlation and cross-correlation: a multiscale analysis of eurozone stock markets. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 391(4):1097–1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2011.11.002
Fernández-Macho J (2018) Time-localized wavelet multiple regression and correlation. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 492:1226–1238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.050
Ng EKW, Chan JCL (2012) Geophysical applications of partial wavelet coherence and multiple wavelet coherence. J Atmos Ocean Technol 29(12):1845–1853. https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00056.1
Gülerce M, Ünal G (2018) Electricity price forecasting using multiple wavelet coherence method: Comparison of arma versus varma. Int J Financ Eng 5(01):1850004. https://doi.org/10.1142/S2424786318500044
Fernandez-Macho, J.: wavemulcor: Wavelet Routines for Global and Local Multiple Correlation (2018). https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=wavemulcor. R package version 2.2.1
Oygur T, Unal G (2020) Traces of the multifractal nature of the financial crises in turkey: Co-movement of the hölder exponents and large-scale forecast. Fluct Noise Lett. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219477520500297
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Oygur, T., Unal, G. Vector wavelet coherence for multiple time series. Int. J. Dynam. Control 9, 403–409 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40435-020-00706-y
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Version of record:
Issue date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40435-020-00706-y
